World Cup Update
Thanks to the long weekend, I've not been around much lately, but I thought it would be worthwhile to check in on how the ELO rating system did in predicting the quarterfinals. If you include the 100 point home field bonus for Germany against Argentina, then it nailed 3 of the 4 finals, with only France's dominating performance against Brasil going against what the system saw.
As for yesterday's semi-final, Italy went in at 1989 (based on my calcs, the site hasn't updated) with Germany at 1969 (plus a 100 point home field advantage). This yeilded a win probability for Germany of 61.13. However, ELO didn't guess right, as Italy advanced on a spectacular goal in the 128th minute. (Plus another in the 130th...) Italy's victory brought them up to an ELO of 2067.
As for today's game, ELO gives Portugal a ranking of 2009 and France a ranking of 2012, making for a virtual 50-50 toss-up (50.037% for France). So it should be an exciting match....
As for yesterday's semi-final, Italy went in at 1989 (based on my calcs, the site hasn't updated) with Germany at 1969 (plus a 100 point home field advantage). This yeilded a win probability for Germany of 61.13. However, ELO didn't guess right, as Italy advanced on a spectacular goal in the 128th minute. (Plus another in the 130th...) Italy's victory brought them up to an ELO of 2067.
As for today's game, ELO gives Portugal a ranking of 2009 and France a ranking of 2012, making for a virtual 50-50 toss-up (50.037% for France). So it should be an exciting match....
posted by Tony Vallencourt at 7/05/2006 09:00:00 AM
7 Comments:
United States with multivitamin/mineral supplements being the biggest product category-and with an average of 500 new products launched each year. They're sold in many forms-for example, tablets, capsules, softgels, gelcaps, liquids, powders, and bars.Super Fast Keto Boost
Pills can be a perfect solution in many cases for male impotence and Erectile Dysfunction sufferers. What makes pills and products so effective,The specially formulated ingredients. male impotence sufferers are what have made them treat Erectile.Keto Trim 800
more of some nutrients, especially folate and iron-and perhaps calcium if you don't consume enough calcium-rich foods. Check the label's Supplement Facts to make sure you get enough for a healthy pregnancy. Ask about a prenatal vitamin mineral supplement.Prime Choice Nutrition
if comes from a spray.binds with intrinsic factor made in the stomach during digestion. That cannot happen with a spray or a patch! So that means all the place that try to claim that you could grow taller with that are just scam.Rapid Fast Keto Boost
Serexin The vague theories are the ones that just state that foods that burn exist and list a long list of foods. Of course that's not going to give you the results you want.we will have a little debate between the two schools of thought to finally determine.
NutraLite Keto This means that you need to treat your body more carefully and start taking steps towards a Complete fat loss today Before you do anything else you need to understand your body's current fat percentage.Your body fat percentage is the amount of fat that your body consists of.
There are many chairs on the market, but you need to take a long term view and purchase from a company with a solid warranty and staying power. Let us take a look at some of the excellent massage recliners offered by these top brands.Best Back Massager Reviews
Post a Comment
<< Home